kane

The dems have the votes. They have said so and you can see it in the looks on the republicans faces. They lost and are now going through the last throws of their resistance. So, want it or not we will now have this health care bill. The amendments still have to pass the senate, but Reid has already said they have the 51 votes needed to make that happen.

So what do you think will happen?

Will the republicans now take back the house and senate in the fall and work hard to repeal most of it?

Will this fire up the democratic base and help them hold onto the house and senate?

Will they fight over it at every chance they get while continuing to make changes to it which will cause it to never really see the full light of day?

Will the republicans win back the house and then oust Obama in 2012 so they can just shut it all down?

Or

Will it eventually be allowed to take full effect and then we will just have to wait to see how bloated and corrupt it gets.

No matter how you see it, today was a historic day for this country. The question will be whether it will be historically good or bad.

As far as political fallout goes here is how I see it playing out.

This bill will invigorate the far left. The polls have showed that the moderates are split down the middle on it. It will also fire up the right and the next several months will be very ugly as they go back and forth at each other.

In the November election the republicans will gain seats in the hose and senate, but not enough to retake either (although I think they will be very close). Obama will raise close to 1 billion in campaign funds and win re-election in 2012. However, he will lose the house and maybe the senate in 2012. This will lead to s face-off between the republicans who will do anything they can to shut this down and the white house who will do anything they can to keep it alive

In the end it will end up causing a major cluster fuck in Washington DC for the next 4-6 years and will do nothing to bring this country together.