Quote:
Originally Posted by Mutt
barring any major surprises in the next two weeks I think Romney wins - Romney's mission is to just keep smiling, repeating the same message, nothing controversial.
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the odds makers disagree with you. the national polls are all tight, with gallup being an outlier.
the battleground polls are where it's at. the truth of the matter is that Obama can lose Virginia, North Carolina, Ohio, and Florida and still win the election. If Romney loses any of those, especially Ohio, he is done.
When Nate says it's over. I'll believe it. Right now he, Intrade, and Vegas have Obama at 2/3 odds of winning.
http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/