Quote:
Originally Posted by Rochard
If you look at the polls.... No, he will not win.
If he looses the nomination (which is possible), he will run his own which pretty much ensures he will not win and the Republican party will not win - Trump would most likely take a large portion of his Republican voters with him.
If Trump wins the nomination he will go against Clinton or Sanders. According to polls, he would loose to either of them.
Of course a lot could change from now until then.
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Elections are won and lost by influencing the middle ground. Is Trump appealing to enough of the middle to make up for those he's pissing off, would he get the backing from Cruz and Rubio supporters if he's nominated, can he get across the finish line with enough delegates.
And can that guy beat Clinton? I don't see Sanders getting it, could be surprised, though.
Trying to find actual voters numbers per candidate is tough.
Obviously, it needs breaking down by State and Electoral College.