Quote:
Originally Posted by Joshua G
hello. after reading a number of your posts now, i see you are thoughtful & openminded, & you tend not to offend. thats cool.
but when you say things like hilary is up 6 right now...not sure why thats relevant to you. polls are well known to be irrelevent months outside the election. there is a known bias by the people who both take the polls, & report them. its not a secret bias. so why bring up numbers that are fudged & will change.
trump was up 2 a few weeks back. but was he really? will hillary win by 6? will events happen in the future that can effect the outcome?
its so easy to forecast. polls will have clinton in the lead, all season long, until the debates are done. then the polls magically tighten & become too close to call come election. of course, hilary will always be leading. just by 3 points instead of 10 points.
then she will lose because the media totally covered up the energy-in-turnout gap. polls dont seem to get turnout very well. at least, when the liberal media takes sides in the game. they wont tell about the secret trump vote. rich people, hollywood types, corporate suits that have to appear to support hilary.

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Thanks. I certainly try not to offend; I'm here to learn and potentially do business. I agree with you that polls are not very predictive at this stage. I also agree that Trump is a stronger opponent than he appears to be, I have said so often.
However, he is fighting against a democrat electoral advantage, a seasoned campaigner with fanatical establishment support, lack of support from minorities, and a disorganized and fractured base. He needs record votes and turnout from his demographic.
While I agree that idiot "go team" liberals have taken PC way too far, I don't agree that Clinton is anything but a centrist democrat. Centrists are good for stability. Right now I personally see Trump behind 10%, using my flawed and limited predictive ability. That may change, of course, but the ball is in Trump's court and he needs to win a few games.