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Originally Posted by onwebcam
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Indiana is no shock. With the exception of Obama in 2008 (where he won by only 1 point) it has gone Republican 5 out of the last 6 elections. I think Ohio is a true toss up. Only a few points separate them and it has gone both Democrat and Republican in recent elections. Missouri is a pretty dark red state having not been won by a Democrat since Clinton in 1996. I don't know about New Hampshire. The polls I see show Clinton up by about 7 points and it has gone Democrat in 5 of the last 6 elections. Even if Trump wins it, 4 EVs isn't a whole lot.
He can lose either Pennsylvania or Florida, but he can't lose them both. Of course, if he wins them both that will make this a race. I think we will know pretty early on election night how things are going to play out based on what happens in those two states.