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-   -   What if you flip an unbiased coin every second for 100 days (https://gfy.com/showthread.php?t=1180958)

lakerslive 12-14-2015 07:26 PM

What if you flip an unbiased coin every second for 100 days
 
What if you flip an unbiased coin every second for 100 days straight...which side of the coin would have won more days / losing days ?

How many good days will you have and how many bad days? it should be 50 50 correct?

Defninition of What is a good day and bad day.
Exampe: Heads up by +100 units . = good day head wins for that day (monday)
Heads down by -10 units = bad day for heads (tuesday)

So looking at the above so far, the win ration loss ratio for heads is at 50/50
it was up monday, down on tuesday.. and so on..

so basically, a down day is a,, down day regardless of unit count?

TheSquealer 12-14-2015 07:40 PM

so, basically you can't understand how a 50% probability works.... which is what? 7th grade math? maybe there is a developmentally disabled board for you somewhere? spend a few years there, then come back?

Adraco 12-15-2015 04:00 AM

You were in special ed, right?

MiamiBoyz 12-15-2015 04:11 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by lakerslive (Post 20668666)
What if you flip an unbiased coin every second for 100 days straight...which side of the coin would have won more days / losing days ?

How many good days will you have and how many bad days? it should be 50 50 correct?

Defninition of What is a good day and bad day.
Exampe: Heads up by +100 units . = good day head wins for that day (monday)
Heads down by -10 units = bad day for heads (tuesday)

So looking at the above so far, the win ration loss ratio for heads is at 50/50
it was up monday, down on tuesday.. and so on..

so basically, a down day is a,, down day regardless of unit count?

http://40.media.tumblr.com/85eefab60...yy8o1_1280.png

8pt-buck 12-15-2015 05:22 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by TheSquealer (Post 20668678)
so, basically you can't understand how a 50% probability works.... which is what? 7th grade math? maybe there is a developmentally disabled board for you somewhere? spend a few years there, then come back?

:1orglaugh

Barry-xlovecam 12-15-2015 07:10 AM

Introduction to Probability and Statistics

see: 128 flips
Go figure :1orglaugh

LetterTwenty7 12-15-2015 07:17 AM

I am very curious to know - why do you ask this?
:D

Barry-xlovecam 12-15-2015 07:35 AM

This is a real world experiment
* your results may differ

Quote:

[...]8:~$ cat randfile
0
1
[...]8:~$ echo > rancount
[...]8:~$ for n in {1..1000}; do shuf -n1 randfile >> rancount ; done
[...]8:~$ grep -c "1" rancount
507
[...]8:~$ grep -c "0" rancount
493
[...]8:~$ echo > rancount
[...]8:~$ for n in {1..10000}; do shuf -n1 randfile >> rancount ; done
[...]8:~$ grep -c "0" rancount
4841
[...]8:~$ grep -c "1" rancount
5159
[...]8:~$ rm rancount
Computer random functions are not theoretical randoms.
"In every case, the peak probability is at half the number of flips and declines on both sides, more steeply as the number of flips increases."

The answer is a question: How many molecules of sweat are on each side of the coin you are flipping :1orglaugh

lakerslive 12-15-2015 07:59 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by LetterTwenty7 (Post 20669152)
I am very curious to know - why do you ask this?
:D

Because i have 4 months of data to see if u can use chaos theory to see if lady luck is blind when it comes to unit count.

Some things people just cannot wrap their minds around

Mediamix 12-15-2015 08:02 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by lakerslive (Post 20669213)
Because i have 4 months of data to see if u can use chaos theory to see if lady luck is blind when it comes to unit count.

Some things people just cannot wrap their minds around

Some people just don't know how to do math or ask a question in a way it makes sense...

Babaganoosh 12-15-2015 08:06 AM

Don't forget the roughly 1:6000 chance of coins similar in dimension to a US nickel landing on the edge. :)


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