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-   -   ok, we can now safely say: Paul the Octopus is a genius! (https://gfy.com/showthread.php?t=977529)

MaDalton 07-11-2010 05:45 PM

ok, we can now safely say: Paul the Octopus is a genius!
 
i mean: who else got all games correct than this fucking squid... :Oh crap

NaughtyRob 07-11-2010 05:51 PM

Yeah crazy shit!

TeenCat 07-11-2010 05:52 PM

yeah thats incredible, next time i am betting what he say :)

Agent 488 07-11-2010 05:53 PM

i heard on the radio that all octopi have been taken off the menus in spain. he must be a hero to his people.

MaDalton 07-11-2010 06:14 PM

he has 9 brains, no wonder he knows better

bloggerz 07-11-2010 06:57 PM

octopus not squid

Chosen 07-11-2010 07:54 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by bloggerz (Post 17327569)
octopus not squid

Thanks for clarifying that :1orglaugh

Spunky 07-11-2010 07:58 PM

It was funny everybody kept saying Calamari

fatfoo 07-11-2010 09:07 PM

The octopus is a genius.
It was said that the chance of the octopus predicting like it did was 2%.

Agent 488 07-11-2010 09:16 PM

his name is Paolo now.

slayer69 07-11-2010 09:42 PM

Think he'll be ready for the NFL season?

seeandsee 07-12-2010 05:00 AM

come on people, octopus does know nothing...

Dirty Dane 07-12-2010 05:39 AM

It was not ALL games. Only Germany and the final. Correct me if I'm wrong.

I don't know who wrote it, but it was something about monkeys typing randomly. Sooner or later a result will make sense. Probability :)

MaDalton 07-12-2010 06:06 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dirty Dane (Post 17328260)
It was not ALL games. Only Germany and the final. Correct me if I'm wrong.

I don't know who wrote it, but it was something about monkeys typing randomly. Sooner or later a result will make sense. Probability :)

you're taking this way too serious :winkwink:

CaptainHowdy 07-12-2010 06:20 AM

Shows that even an octopus understands the dynamic of soccer...

Dirty Dane 07-12-2010 06:24 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MaDalton (Post 17328301)
you're taking this way too serious :winkwink:

lol, yes, but you know some superstitious people (gamblers) get ruined because of it. They have a "lucky" coin or something and if they succeed others start to believe. In the end someone will the lottery, but most will not. If the octopus was wrong from the beginning, it wouldn't get any attention, but maybe another "monkey" would :)

I read the total odds from the octopus guess was slightly over 400. Enough to win a nice amount, but FAR from what some others win every day.

Caligari 07-12-2010 06:29 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dirty Dane (Post 17328260)
It was not ALL games. Only Germany and the final. Correct me if I'm wrong.

I don't know who wrote it, but it was something about monkeys typing randomly. Sooner or later a result will make sense. Probability :)

no man, he correctly predicted 8 games in a row-
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2010/0..._n_640575.html
this is when he was at 5 games, then there were the last 3 he predicted.

thats more than the random monkey theory, this octopus has got something going on.

octopi are considered to have at least a dog's intelligence, so they are quite aware.

MaDalton 07-12-2010 06:42 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dirty Dane (Post 17328338)
lol, yes, but you know some superstitious people (gamblers) get ruined because of it. They have a "lucky" coin or something and if they succeed others start to believe. In the end someone will the lottery, but most will not. If the octopus was wrong from the beginning, it wouldn't get any attention, but maybe another "monkey" would :)

I read the total odds from the octopus guess was slightly over 400. Enough to win a nice amount, but FAR from what some others win every day.

they only let him predict the german games and the final - he got 8 out of 8 correct. so he's definitely smarter - or more lucky - than the rest of us. :winkwink:

Dirty Dane 07-12-2010 06:43 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Caligari (Post 17328350)
no man, he correctly predicted 8 games in a row-
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2010/0..._n_640575.html
this is when he was at 5 games, then there were the last 3 he predicted.

thats more than the random monkey theory, this octopus has got something going on.

octopi are considered to have at least a dog's intelligence, so they are quite aware.

He didn't "predict". He guessed. There is nothing sensional about it. :)

With 2^N it will take 256 "predicting" monkeys to flip a coin 8 times, where 1 will statistically "predict" right. That monkey will get the attention and it's NOT his intelligence that brought him there :)

MaDalton 07-12-2010 06:46 AM

Paul says: "Who cares?!"

http://i.huffpost.com/gadgets/slides...?1278942415211

DidierE 07-12-2010 06:50 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by TeenCat (Post 17327477)
yeah thats incredible, next time i am betting what he say :)

Octopus only live 3 years on average so since Paul is already 2 years old he won't make it until the next worldcup in 2014 :(

Caligari 07-12-2010 06:53 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dirty Dane (Post 17328377)
He didn't "predict". He guessed. There is nothing sensional about it. :)

With 2^N it will take 256 "predicting" monkeys to flip a coin 8 times, where 1 will statistically "predict" right. That monkey will get the attention and it's NOT his intelligence that brought him there :)

i don't think psychic ability is intelligence per se, its just another opened doorway in the brain.

but the octopus is aware of his surroundings and if extra-sensory perception exists (which is likely) he would qualify as a psychic cephalopod.

you must admit that the odds of one octopus making 8 accurate "guesses" in a row is pretty incredible.

halfpint 07-12-2010 06:56 AM

Well with a name like Paul...of course he is a genius..we all are !!

Caligari 07-12-2010 06:57 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MaDalton (Post 17328386)

:1orglaugh just look at the size of that head "the beast with 9 brains"

i think i saw that movie:winkwink:

Dirty Dane 07-12-2010 07:27 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Caligari (Post 17328408)
you must admit that the odds of one octopus making 8 accurate "guesses" in a row is pretty incredible.

If the odds for winning in each game (a coin flip) is 2, then the odds of guessing all correct is 256. The odds for guessing WRONG in a 8 row is also 256.
If 6 billion people, monkeys or squids took the same wild guess, then over 23 million will guess correctly and the same amount will guess all wrong.

I'm not saying the octopus doesn't have intelligence, just that a guess like that has nothing to do with intelligence. In fact, I believe the octopus liked the colors of the german flag and that's what he sticked to. And lucky for him, Germany tends to improve throughout these games. He didn't "know" that and if we flipped the flags and "told" him, he wouldn't understand it ... and guess all wrong. That's not incredible intelligence or "zero" intelligence, it's just plain math :)

MaDalton 07-12-2010 07:41 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dirty Dane (Post 17328487)
If the odds for winning in each game (a coin flip) is 2, then the odds of guessing all correct is 256. The odds for guessing WRONG in a 8 row is also 256.
If 6 billion people, monkeys or squids took the same wild guess, then over 23 million will guess correctly and the same amount will guess all wrong.

I'm not saying the octopus doesn't have intelligence, just that a guess like that has nothing to do with intelligence. In fact, I believe the octopus liked the colors of the german flag and that's what he sticked to. And lucky for him, Germany tends to improve throughout these games. He didn't "know" that and if we flipped the flags and "told" him, he wouldn't understand it ... and guess all wrong. That's not incredible intelligence or "zero" intelligence, it's just plain math :)

http://www.isaleporn.com/pix/paul_sa..._did_there.jpg

halfpint 07-12-2010 07:45 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dirty Dane (Post 17328487)
If the odds for winning in each game (a coin flip) is 2, then the odds of guessing all correct is 256. The odds for guessing WRONG in a 8 row is also 256.
If 6 billion people, monkeys or squids took the same wild guess, then over 23 million will guess correctly and the same amount will guess all wrong.

I'm not saying the octopus doesn't have intelligence, just that a guess like that has nothing to do with intelligence. In fact, I believe the octopus liked the colors of the german flag and that's what he sticked to. And lucky for him, Germany tends to improve throughout these games. He didn't "know" that and if we flipped the flags and "told" him, he wouldn't understand it ... and guess all wrong. That's not incredible intelligence or "zero" intelligence, it's just plain math :)

Just for a minute there, I really thought I was a genius ...and then you go and post that :(

O MARINA 07-12-2010 08:20 AM

I need a reading from Paul

Dirty Dane 07-12-2010 08:41 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by halfpint (Post 17328515)
Just for a minute there, I really thought I was a genius ...and then you go and post that :(

No, the ones offering gambling are truly the genius ones. They will always bank because the odds are designed to pay out less than 100%. They make money of hopes and dreams, it's a genius scam and even legal! If I create a flip coin game and promise to pay you 199% on 1 flip if you guess right, will you listen to Paul? How much money and how many games will it take, before you do the math? I will win in the end, I can "predict" and promise you that :)

The existance of gambling is the living proof that no man (or his pets) can predict the future. :winkwink:

Caligari 07-12-2010 09:57 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dirty Dane (Post 17328681)
The existance of gambling is the living proof that no man (or his pets) can predict the future. :winkwink:

Not true. You cannot prove that Paul is not psychic, you can use math to demonstrate a possibility, or even a probability, but you have no evidence to show that the octopus is not using psychic powers.

And the idea that gambling exists doesn't prove anything about psychic abilities. It only proves that probably 99.9 percent of the people in this world are not psychic, and therefore "gamble."

I don't really think that psychic abilities are that mysterious either. Imagine a brain that could filter all present and past factors in a given situation and accurately predict the outcome of something based upon that information. Sound familiar? hehe...

Are you sure that Paul isn't a football expert? Perhaps he's been absorbing information via the TV's in the bar for the last 2 years and his conclusions are based upon this accumulated data. We are not talking rocket science here, its just another sport, of which most are quite easy to comprehend, even for a mollusk:winkwink:

There are more things in heaven and earth, Horatio....

DateDoc 07-12-2010 10:06 AM

Paul says buy BP stock :)

michael.kickass 07-12-2010 12:21 PM

Yep, Paullie is the shit.

John-ACWM 07-12-2010 01:43 PM

He he, one lucky squid and some really ingenious people, now they make big money with it!


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