http://www.eia.doe.gov/pub/oil_gas/p...prodsector.gif

Distillate is mainly Diesel

I think we need to let it take some time, electric cars are the easiest to switch fast. Then when batteries are cheaper we can start making all trucks electrical. For planes we can use biofuels, there have been several successful tests mixing biofuel with jetfuel. The real hard part will be ships.
I'm optimistic and think that by 2020 all cars sold will be electric and by 2050 95% of all transportation will be electric and the rest will use biofuels.

Hopefully generation 4 nuclear plants will solve any problems we will have generating electricity.

When you do a comparison like this though, you can't just go by US consumption charts. A fair chunk of our "stuff" comes from other countries. That oil must be factored in. That's why these charts are inaccurate. Taking just one item again, the car... many of our cars are imports. All the oil required by those factories and their workers and their transportation getting it here, etc. must count against our oil consumption, because with imported items it's no longer about our oil cost... but rather total oil consumption.
Same could be said for exports. The receiving country is the end consumer of all the oil used in the process of making whatever it is they imported.

My reasoning for this is simple. It's the same principle that is applied to anything. No demand for something, no oil used in making or shipping it. I feel our concerns are misplaced as a nation. Everyone is all hot to "go green" and get themselves an electric car, but unless we figure out a way to replace oil completely, nothing changes. And remember, the electricity you're fueling your new car with.... came from an electric plant that's using oil to make your electricity. The ships need fuel to bring the oil to the plant. And all those workers at the plant, driving their cars and trucks, and buying their oil products.... and on and on and on.

2004 is like stone age away when it comes to modern world time ;)

I wonder what are the things that are going to get chopped off that list first as oil becomes more expensive as the supply starts to dwindle...probably sooner than later...

We're not going to run out of oil tomorrow, but I think things will just gradually keep getting more and more expensive as the oil supplies go down. For example, at some point only the wealthy will be flying in planes.

You need to start somewhere, we can't do it all at once. Since oil is just hydrocarbons and we know we can synthezise those, it it just a matter of time before we are able to replace everything.

The question is how much will the seawater level rise before we are done, 10 centimeter, 1 meter or 10 meters. We humans are the only ones that risk to be hard hit by this, nature will adapt to rising tempratures, other types of pollution is more critical for mother nature.

Run out, no. but even the US military is looking at the political and social problems that could be coming as supplies start to dwindle...

"The US military has warned that surplus oil production capacity could disappear within two years and there could be serious shortages by 2015 with a significant economic and political impact."

http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/2...duction-supply

Let's hope so. :thumbsup


Of course, if we don't find a suitable replacement at some stage, the world's militarys will be hanging on to the last of the oil. That's why we are setting up Walmarts and McDonalds in the middle east now. The US intends to keep that oil over there for ourselves. (anyone that really believes we went there to "liberate Iraqis" is delusional.)

Interesting thought though.... these countries that built themselves around oil, like Saudi Arabia, are fucked when the wells run dry. At least Dubai is trying to transform themselves into a resort area. Who the fuck wants to go to Saudi Arabia though?

yes you have to start somewhere. i drive a hybrid. use public transport when i can. don't run AC constantly in house. looking into solar setup for home too.

amp, can you hit me up on gfy1 (at ] skinmarketing ( dot ] com

it is only a matter of time

http://www.oilcrisis.com/

I barely drive 5.4 miles a day.

sure, np :)

I already do.